I will be recommending a Democrat vote

I have a small readership, mostly my friends and my clients. I keep my friends by not arguing too much with them; I keep my clients by being ''wise." My job is to stay ahead of "risk." Take what you need.

Tuesday, June 15, 2004

Bad moon a-rising...

Understanding Abu Ghraib...

Failure to understand, manage, anticipate, leads to failure of doctrine.

•A1. WMDs?

• A2. Rescue oppressed nationals from "madman" brutal dictator?

• A3. Liberation, Democracy, 1000 Middle East Flowers bloom?

B. Strategy fog. Mission creep. [Acceptable] Rules of Engagement Envelope - TBA

C. Yields failure to focus, understand, limit, plan, assign, assert, adjust, finesse, coopt

D. Growing insurgency

E. Physical coercion, sexual humiliation

A1 and/or A2 and/or A3, rather than a single A-squared gets you to E. You don't want to go there, "it's not who you are." But "loser" is not who you are either.

ROE (Rules of Engagement) becomes fluid, subjective.

"Reacting/Not losing," instead of "proacting/winning" substitutes in your OODA loop.

Judgement fails. Turbocharged entropy results. Mania, shrapnel ensue as the system flies apart.

The opponent is now inside your loop.

Absent a gross and counter-intuitive compensatory axis shift of the combat and cultural landscape, mission over.

Your goals are out of reach given your current operational stance and situational awareness.

Your loop is cut. You're dead.

[/John Boyd-mode]

I feel shitty. My job is to forecast what I see and to Intuit from what I know... If you don't like what I think or if you want to argue about what I discern politcally, I'll put some poltical links here later, you can judge for you self how accurate I am. (On this topic, very.) [update October 28]

Guess what? I hate the stupid strategy my country and my miltiary finds itself in, thanks to the current "smart-guy", "CEO-Administration".

I'm not impressed. I'm singularly not impressed. I'm shareholder-pissed, ready-to-sell, burn-down-the-headquatrers-not impressed.

I have never in 42 years and 5 presidential voting cycles been presented with a candidate whom I dislike and distrust more to carry through sensible policies relative to my country's health than I do this one. George W. Bush is Wrong. So wrong. And he is NO Commander in Chief.

"The Buck Stops Here."

Loyalty is a fetish for this man, observation is a luxury. This man is an abomination and an insult. And his people compound his fuzzy thinking. You ain't seen military doctrine twisted into words and deeds that miltary people wouldn't recognize. Rather, you ain't seen them yet.

You ain't seen Abu Ghraib. Yet.

The worst is yet to come.